Details on the November ENSO forecast: slip-slidin' away?
Washington DC (SPX) Nov 07, 2014 - by Emily Becker The CPC/IRI ENSO forecast has dropped the likelihood of El Nino again, to 58%, despite the presence of "borderline" El Nino conditions (i.e. warmer equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature, and some reduction in rain over Indonesia). El Nino is still expected, but with less confidence. What is it about this year that may be making it harder to forecast? Many studies, usi ... more
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